{"id":84647,"date":"2026-04-10T16:16:59","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T16:16:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/2026\/04\/10\/mercado-de-carga-aerea-sob-pressao-devido-ao-conflito\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T16:16:59","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T16:16:59","slug":"mercado-de-carga-aerea-sob-pressao-devido-ao-conflito","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/pt-pt\/2026\/04\/10\/mercado-de-carga-aerea-sob-pressao-devido-ao-conflito\/","title":{"rendered":"Mercado de carga a\u00e9rea sob press\u00e3o devido ao conflito"},"content":{"rendered":"

A resili\u00eancia do mercado global de frete a\u00e9reo est\u00e1 novamente sob teste, uma vez que o conflito no Oriente M\u00e9dio coloca em d\u00favida as j\u00e1 baixas expectativas de crescimento para 2026. Segundo uma an\u00e1lise da Xeneta, li\u00e7\u00f5es de crises passadas trazem estabilidade a curto prazo, enquanto despachantes, companhias a\u00e9reas e transportadoras aguardam como a situa\u00e7\u00e3o na regi\u00e3o se desenvolver\u00e1 e quais impactos de longo prazo poder\u00e1 ter na economia global.<\/p>\n

Perspectivas hist\u00f3ricas e desafios atuais<\/h3>\n

O frete a\u00e9reo provou ser um contrapeso durante crises na cadeia de suprimentos, como durante a pandemia de Covid ou em dist\u00farbios no Mar Vermelho. Nesses casos, o frete a\u00e9reo entrou em a\u00e7\u00e3o quando o transporte mar\u00edtimo ficou paralisado. No entanto, a situa\u00e7\u00e3o atual difere de choques anteriores, pois o conflito atual afeta a ind\u00fastria de avia\u00e7\u00e3o e frete a\u00e9reo mais do que o transporte mar\u00edtimo, levantando a preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o de que os piores impactos ainda possam estar por vir.<\/p>\n

Niall van de Wouw, Chief Airfreight Officer da Xeneta, explica: \u201cNormalmente, relatamos no in\u00edcio de cada m\u00eas sobre o desempenho do mercado global de frete a\u00e9reo das \u00faltimas quatro a cinco semanas. No entanto, atualmente, \u00e9 menos relevante se a demanda caiu 2% ou 4% em mar\u00e7o, quando estamos \u00e0 beira de uma crise econ\u00f4mica global.\u201d<\/p>\n

Ajustes de pre\u00e7os e din\u00e2mica de mercado<\/h3>\n

Os pre\u00e7os do frete a\u00e9reo est\u00e3o subindo, e j\u00e1 h\u00e1 sinais de que o conflito no Oriente M\u00e9dio est\u00e1 remodelando os pre\u00e7os globais do frete a\u00e9reo. Van de Wouw enfatiza que os custos s\u00e3o apenas uma de muitas vari\u00e1veis. \u201cA garantia da participa\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado e o servi\u00e7o ao cliente tamb\u00e9m desempenham um papel importante\u201d, acrescenta.<\/p>\n

Os pre\u00e7os crescentes dos combust\u00edveis podem n\u00e3o reduzir imediatamente a demanda por frete a\u00e9reo, mas isso pode mudar se o conflito se prolongar. At\u00e9 l\u00e1, ele espera que a ind\u00fastria de frete a\u00e9reo continue encontrando maneiras de transportar mercadorias, \u201cmas isso ter\u00e1 um custo\u201d. Ele destaca que capacidades foram deslocadas para aeroportos mais seguros, como Muscat e Jeddah, para manter o fornecimento de frete a\u00e9reo.<\/p>\n

Esperan\u00e7as por solu\u00e7\u00f5es r\u00e1pidas<\/h3>\n

Os atores do setor de frete a\u00e9reo depositam suas esperan\u00e7as em uma r\u00e1pida solu\u00e7\u00e3o para a situa\u00e7\u00e3o atual no Oriente M\u00e9dio. Cidades como Dubai e Doha desempenham um papel estrat\u00e9gico entre a Am\u00e9rica, \u00c1sia e Europa e serviram como motores de crescimento para companhias a\u00e9reas como Emirates, Etihad e Qatar Airways. No entanto, a vantagem geogr\u00e1fica se transformou em uma vulnerabilidade estrat\u00e9gica, uma vez que os aeroportos hub est\u00e3o sofrendo com o conflito.<\/p>\n

Os impactos s\u00e3o abrangentes. Um aumento nos pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo quase dobrou os custos do querosene, pressionando as companhias a\u00e9reas que j\u00e1 est\u00e3o redirecionando ou cancelando voos devido a dificuldades financeiras. Cinco semanas ap\u00f3s o in\u00edcio do conflito, a capacidade de frete a\u00e9reo na regi\u00e3o est\u00e1 cerca de 30% abaixo do n\u00edvel anterior ao conflito, refletindo-se nos pre\u00e7os. Os pre\u00e7os globais \u00e0 vista do frete a\u00e9reo superaram em mar\u00e7o os picos da temporada de 2025, alcan\u00e7ando 2,86 USD por kg \u2013 o n\u00edvel mais alto desde dezembro de 2024.<\/p>\n

Impactos globais e tend\u00eancias de pre\u00e7os<\/h3>\n

As negocia\u00e7\u00f5es entre companhias a\u00e9reas e transportadoras no primeiro trimestre de 2026 refletem a din\u00e2mica que surgiu durante a pandemia de Covid. Em mar\u00e7o, a participa\u00e7\u00e3o dos volumes globais enviados a pre\u00e7os \u00e0 vista aumentou em tr\u00eas pontos percentuais, atingindo 52%, apenas um ponto abaixo do n\u00edvel no in\u00edcio da pandemia.<\/p>\n

Os efeitos dos aumentos de pre\u00e7os s\u00e3o particularmente sentidos nos corredores de partida do Sul da \u00c1sia e do Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico para o Oriente M\u00e9dio. Os pre\u00e7os \u00e0 vista aumentaram na semana at\u00e9 29 de mar\u00e7o em 50-100% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com quatro semanas antes. Esse pico de pre\u00e7os reflete uma combina\u00e7\u00e3o de fatores de press\u00e3o: escassez significativa de capacidade devido \u00e0 forte depend\u00eancia das companhias a\u00e9reas no Oriente M\u00e9dio, custos de querosene quase dobrados e novos adicionais de risco de guerra.<\/p>\n

\u201cSe o frete a\u00e9reo se beneficiar\u00e1 ou sofrer\u00e1 a longo prazo depende da dura\u00e7\u00e3o do conflito e de seus resultados\u201d, conclui van de Wouw. Em mar\u00e7o, a demanda global por frete a\u00e9reo caiu 3% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, enquanto a oferta de capacidade estava 6% abaixo de mar\u00e7o de 2025. O fator de carga din\u00e2mico, uma medida da utiliza\u00e7\u00e3o da capacidade, subiu para 65%.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

www.tiaca.org<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A resili\u00eancia do mercado de carga a\u00e9rea est\u00e1 amea\u00e7ada pelo conflito no Oriente M\u00e9dio, resultando em pre\u00e7os crescentes e incertezas na economia global.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":84642,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1625,1626,1622,1623,1617,1624,1619,1618],"tags":[2932,2250,22490,14295,2252,2600,5214,37797,2940,37798,37799,2942,2207,2943,23785,2260,37800,22498,22499,8059,2213,32742,37801,2949,5446,3234,2277,23792,3521,37802,33167,37803,2176,22517,22519,2634,3524,2284,37804,2286,9220,9221,23801,3526,9227,37805,37806,23581,36871,5459,1857,5462,2297,1837],"class_list":["post-84647","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa","category-americas","category-asia-pacifico","category-europa","category-expedicao-e-logistica","category-medio-oriente","category-navegacao-e-portos","category-transporte-aereo-de-mercadorias","tag-air-freight-capacity","tag-air-freight-contracts","tag-air-freight-demand","tag-air-freight-digitalization","tag-air-freight-industry","tag-air-freight-infrastructure","tag-air-freight-prices","tag-air-freight-supply","tag-airlines","tag-ajustements-de-prix","tag-approvisionnement-en-fret-aerien","tag-capacite-de-fret-aerien","tag-chaine-dapprovisionnement","tag-compagnies-aeriennes","tag-conflit-au-moyen-orient","tag-contrats-de-fret-aerien","tag-couts-du-kerosene","tag-demande-de-fret-aerien","tag-deutsch-luftfrachtmarkt","tag-digitalisierung-luftfracht","tag-economie-du-transport","tag-emirates","tag-etihad","tag-fluggesellschaften","tag-freight-forwarders","tag-freight-logistics","tag-industrie-du-fret-aerien","tag-infrastructure-du-fret-aerien","tag-infrastruktur-luftfracht","tag-jet-fuel-costs","tag-kerosinkosten","tag-konflikt-naher-osten","tag-logistique-de-fret","tag-luftfracht-kapazitaet","tag-luftfracht-nachfrage","tag-luftfrachtindustrie","tag-luftfrachtlogistik","tag-luftfrachtpreise","tag-luftfrachtversorgung","tag-luftfrachtvertraege","tag-market-share","tag-marktanteil","tag-middle-east-conflict","tag-numerisation-du-fret-aerien","tag-part-de-marche","tag-preisanpassungen-english-air-freight-market","tag-price-adjustments-francais-marche-de-la-fret-aerien","tag-prix-du-fret-aerien","tag-qatar-airways","tag-spediteure","tag-supply-chain","tag-transitaires","tag-transport-economy","tag-transportwirtschaft"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMercado 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