{"id":73015,"date":"2026-01-14T08:19:25","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T08:19:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/2026\/01\/14\/cargas-aereas-crescem-apesar-dos-desafios\/"},"modified":"2026-01-14T11:37:45","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T10:37:45","slug":"cargas-aereas-crescem-apesar-dos-desafios","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/pt-pt\/2026\/01\/14\/cargas-aereas-crescem-apesar-dos-desafios\/","title":{"rendered":"Cargas a\u00e9reas crescem apesar dos desafios"},"content":{"rendered":"

A demanda global por frete a\u00e9reo encerrou o ano de 2025 com um aumento de 6% em dezembro. Isso mostra um desenvolvimento positivo em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, embora as entregas de e-commerce estagnadas da China levantem preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es entre companhias a\u00e9reas e transportadoras. Isso \u00e9 indicado por uma an\u00e1lise da Xeneta.<\/p>\n

Crescimento apesar dos desafios<\/h3>\n

No quarto trimestre de 2025, a ind\u00fastria de frete a\u00e9reo registrou um volume melhor do que o esperado, resultando em um crescimento anual de 4% na carga transportada. Esse desenvolvimento reflete a disposi\u00e7\u00e3o de muitos remetentes em optar pela velocidade e confiabilidade do frete a\u00e9reo em tempos de interrup\u00e7\u00f5es e incerteza econ\u00f4mica. Niall van de Wouw, Chief Airfreight Officer da Xeneta, afirmou que o ano de 2025 „teve algo a oferecer para todos“, j\u00e1 que os prestadores de servi\u00e7os se beneficiaram de volumes mais altos e os remetentes puderam aproveitar pre\u00e7os mais baixos na segunda metade do ano.<\/p>\n

Para 2026, no entanto, a Xeneta espera um crescimento mais cauteloso de 2 a 3%. Van de Wouw expressou que pode haver „um pre\u00e7o a pagar“, uma vez que as incertezas no com\u00e9rcio e as tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas podem pressionar os volumes de frete a\u00e9reo. Apesar do crescimento da demanda no final do ano, os pre\u00e7os globais do frete a\u00e9reo nos \u00faltimos meses ficaram abaixo dos valores de 2024. Em dezembro, os pre\u00e7os ca\u00edram 4% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, para uma m\u00e9dia de 2,83 USD por kg.<\/p>\n

Influ\u00eancia do E-Commerce<\/h3>\n

O desenvolvimento futuro ser\u00e1 fortemente influenciado pela demanda de e-commerce, especialmente da China e da Europa. Van de Wouw apontou que investimentos em intelig\u00eancia artificial apoiaram a demanda por frete a\u00e9reo em 2025, enquanto os sinais menos otimistas para o e-commerce, especialmente nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es transfronteiri\u00e7as da China, s\u00e3o preocupantes. De acordo com estat\u00edsticas alfandeg\u00e1rias chinesas, as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de produtos de baixo custo e de e-commerce em novembro aumentaram apenas 1% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, ap\u00f3s terem estagnado em outubro. As exporta\u00e7\u00f5es para os EUA registraram uma queda de 52% em novembro em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, representando a maior queda desde o in\u00edcio dos registros.<\/p>\n

Embora os volumes de e-commerce entre a China e a UE continuem a crescer, o ritmo \u00e9 mais lento, com um aumento de 29% em novembro, em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com 47% em outubro. Al\u00e9m disso, o Conselho de Estado da China introduziu novas regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es sobre relat\u00f3rios fiscais para plataformas online, que entrar\u00e3o em vigor em outubro de 2025. Essa regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o pode aumentar os custos de entrega e endurecer os requisitos de conformidade para os exportadores.<\/p>\n

Regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o no E-Commerce Internacional<\/h3>\n

A ind\u00fastria internacional de e-commerce transfronteiri\u00e7o enfrenta um cen\u00e1rio cada vez mais regulado. Os EUA e a UE est\u00e3o implementando novas regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es, enquanto pa\u00edses como Jap\u00e3o e Tail\u00e2ndia discutem medidas semelhantes. Assim, a UE decidiu em dezembro introduzir uma taxa fixa de 3 EUR sobre pequenos pacotes abaixo de 150 EUR a partir de 1\u00ba de julho de 2026, para fechar brechas para entregas de baixo custo. Isso pode levar a um crescimento mais lento dos volumes de e-commerce em 2026, embora se espere que cres\u00e7am mais rapidamente do que o mercado geral de frete a\u00e9reo.<\/p>\n

Van de Wouw enfatizou que os volumes de e-commerce do frete a\u00e9reo tamb\u00e9m podem ser afetados pela diminui\u00e7\u00e3o do poder de compra dos consumidores, que enfrentam pre\u00e7os mais altos para bens de consumo e est\u00e3o sendo mais conscientes com seu dinheiro.<\/p>\n

Desenvolvimento do Mercado e Tend\u00eancias de Pre\u00e7os<\/h3>\n

Em dezembro, as quedas nos pre\u00e7os spot nos principais corredores continuaram. A maior queda de 13% foi registrada na rota transatl\u00e2ntica de oeste da Europa para a Am\u00e9rica do Norte. A demanda caiu 2%, o que foi mais r\u00e1pido do que a queda da capacidade de 1%. Mensalmente, no entanto, os pre\u00e7os spot aumentaram 17% devido \u00e0 redu\u00e7\u00e3o das capacidades de passageiros, representando o aumento mais r\u00e1pido entre os principais corredores, mas ainda permanecendo abaixo do n\u00edvel do ano anterior.<\/p>\n

As companhias a\u00e9reas rapidamente redirecionaram suas capacidades de carga dos EUA para a Europa, onde a demanda \u00e9 mais est\u00e1vel. No entanto, os pre\u00e7os spot da China para a Europa e Am\u00e9rica do Norte mostram apenas uma leve queda de 1% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com dezembro de 2024.<\/p>\n

As negocia\u00e7\u00f5es contratuais tamb\u00e9m mudaram. Quase metade dos volumes dos transportadores foi comprada no mercado spot por at\u00e9 um m\u00eas, um h\u00e1bito que persiste desde a pandemia. No quarto trimestre de 2025, contratos de um ano representaram apenas 24% dos novos acordos, uma queda de 20 pontos percentuais em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao trimestre anterior.<\/p>\n

As condi\u00e7\u00f5es de mercado indicam uma desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o, e van de Wouw v\u00ea os maiores riscos para o ano de 2026. Ele expressou preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o de que uma crise possa novamente prejudicar as taxas de crescimento do frete a\u00e9reo.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

www.tiaca.org<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A ind\u00fastria de frete a\u00e9reo encerrou 2025 com um aumento de 6%, apesar dos desafios decorrentes da estagna\u00e7\u00e3o das entregas de e-commerce da China e das tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":73010,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1625,1626,1622,1623,1624,1621,1618],"tags":[5210,5211,5212,5213,2936,5214,2255,2941,5215,5216,5217,5218,2265,3458,3460,2266,2267,2268,5219,5220,5221,5222,5223,5224,5225,5226,2123,2125,2279,2280,5227,2282,3471,5228,5229,5230,2284,2287,5231,5232,5233,2145,5234,5235,5236,2106,5237,2295,2155,1837,5238,2300,5239],"class_list":["post-73015","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa","category-americas","category-asia-pacifico","category-europa","category-medio-oriente","category-regioes","category-transporte-aereo-de-mercadorias","tag-air-freight-china","tag-air-freight-europe","tag-air-freight-growth","tag-air-freight-market-2026","tag-air-freight-market-analysis","tag-air-freight-prices","tag-air-freight-volumes","tag-analyse-du-marche-du-fret-aerien","tag-capacites-de-fret","tag-croissance-fret-aerien","tag-customs-fees-e-commerce","tag-demande-e-commerce","tag-deutsch-luftfracht","tag-digital-logistics","tag-digitale-logistik","tag-e-commerce","tag-e-commerce-demand","tag-e-commerce-nachfrage","tag-fachkraeftemangel-logistik-english-air-freight","tag-frachterkapazitaeten","tag-frais-de-douane-e-commerce","tag-freighter-capacities","tag-fret-aerien-chine","tag-fret-aerien-europe","tag-geopolitical-tensions","tag-geopolitische-spannungen","tag-gestion-de-la-chaine-dapprovisionnement","tag-industrie-du-transport","tag-international-logistics","tag-internationale-logistik","tag-labor-shortage-logistics-francais-fret-aerien","tag-logistique-internationale","tag-logistique-numerique","tag-luftfracht-china","tag-luftfracht-europa","tag-luftfrachtmarkt-2026","tag-luftfrachtpreise","tag-luftfrachtvolumina","tag-luftfrachtwachstum","tag-marche-fret-aerien-2026","tag-marktanalyse-luftfracht","tag-penurie-de-main-doeuvre-logistique","tag-prix-fret-aerien","tag-spot-rates-air-freight","tag-spotpreise-luftfracht","tag-supply-chain-management","tag-tarifs-spot-fret-aerien","tag-tensions-geopolitiques","tag-transport-industry","tag-transportwirtschaft","tag-volumes-fret-aerien","tag-xeneta","tag-zollgebuehren-e-commerce"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCargas 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