{"id":72118,"date":"2026-01-07T11:53:48","date_gmt":"2026-01-07T11:53:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/2026\/01\/07\/industria-de-frete-aereo-com-perspectivas-mistas\/"},"modified":"2026-01-07T13:29:14","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T12:29:14","slug":"industria-de-frete-aereo-com-perspectivas-mistas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/pt-pt\/2026\/01\/07\/industria-de-frete-aereo-com-perspectivas-mistas\/","title":{"rendered":"Ind\u00fastria de frete a\u00e9reo com perspectivas mistas"},"content":{"rendered":"

A ind\u00fastria de frete a\u00e9reo encerrou o ano de 2025 com um aumento de 6% no volume em dezembro, indicando um desenvolvimento positivo. No entanto, existem preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao estagna\u00e7\u00e3o dos transportes de e-commerce da China, que podem ofuscar as perspectivas para o setor. Isso \u00e9 relatado por analistas da Xeneta.<\/p>\n

No quarto trimestre do ano passado, os volumes de frete a\u00e9reo mostraram-se melhores do que o esperado, resultando em um aumento do peso carregado de 4% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior. Esse desenvolvimento reflete a disposi\u00e7\u00e3o de muitos remetentes em optar pela rapidez e confiabilidade do frete a\u00e9reo em tempos de interrup\u00e7\u00f5es e incertezas econ\u00f4micas. Niall van de Wouw, Chief Airfreight Officer da Xeneta, afirmou que 2025 „teve algo a oferecer para todos“, j\u00e1 que os prestadores de servi\u00e7os se beneficiaram de volumes mais altos e os remetentes, na segunda metade do ano, de pre\u00e7os mais baixos.<\/p>\n

Para 2026, no entanto, a Xeneta espera uma previs\u00e3o mais cautelosa, com um aumento moderado dos volumes de 2 a 3%. Van de Wouw comentou que pode haver „um pre\u00e7o a pagar“, uma vez que as incertezas no com\u00e9rcio e as tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas podem impactar os volumes de frete a\u00e9reo. Apesar do crescimento da demanda no ano passado, os pre\u00e7os globais de frete a\u00e9reo nos \u00faltimos meses ficaram abaixo dos n\u00edveis de 2024. Em dezembro, os pre\u00e7os globais de frete a\u00e9reo ca\u00edram 4% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, alcan\u00e7ando uma m\u00e9dia de 2,83 USD por kg.<\/p>\n

Desafios no E-Commerce<\/h3>\n

O desenvolvimento futuro do frete a\u00e9reo ser\u00e1 fortemente influenciado pela demanda de e-commerce. Van de Wouw destacou que os investimentos em intelig\u00eancia artificial tiveram um impacto positivo na demanda em 2025, mas os sinais menos otimistas para o e-commerce, especialmente nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es transfronteiri\u00e7as da China, s\u00e3o preocupantes. Segundo autoridades aduaneiras chinesas, as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es em novembro aumentaram apenas 1% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, ap\u00f3s terem estagnado em outubro. O decl\u00ednio das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es para os EUA foi particularmente acentuado, caindo 52% em novembro em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior.<\/p>\n

Embora os volumes de e-commerce entre a China e a UE continuem a crescer, o ritmo \u00e9 mais lento, com um aumento de 29% em novembro, comparado a 47% em outubro. Al\u00e9m disso, o Conselho de Estado da China introduziu novas regras para a declara\u00e7\u00e3o fiscal de plataformas online, que entrar\u00e3o em vigor em outubro de 2025. Essas regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es podem aumentar os custos de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o e prejudicar a competitividade no e-commerce internacional.<\/p>\n

Regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es e Mudan\u00e7as de Mercado<\/h3>\n

O setor internacional de e-commerce transfronteiri\u00e7o se mover\u00e1 em um ambiente cada vez mais regulado. Os EUA e a UE est\u00e3o implementando novas regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es que devem entrar em vigor no ano fiscal de 2026. A UE decidiu em dezembro que, a partir de 1\u00ba de julho de 2026, haver\u00e1 uma taxa fixa de 3 EUR sobre pequenos pacotes abaixo de 150 EUR. Essas medidas podem desacelerar o crescimento no e-commerce, embora ainda ocorram a um ritmo mais r\u00e1pido do que no mercado geral de frete a\u00e9reo.<\/p>\n

Van de Wouw enfatizou que os volumes de e-commerce do frete a\u00e9reo tamb\u00e9m podem ser afetados pela diminui\u00e7\u00e3o do poder de compra dos consumidores, que enfrentam pre\u00e7os mais altos para bens de consumo.<\/p>\n

Os pre\u00e7os spot para frete a\u00e9reo continuaram a cair em dezembro, com a maior queda registrada na rota transatl\u00e2ntica da Europa para a Am\u00e9rica do Norte, com 13%. Apesar de uma queda na demanda de 2% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, os pre\u00e7os spot aumentaram 17% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao m\u00eas anterior, indicando uma demanda crescente.<\/p>\n

Mudan\u00e7as no Comportamento Contratual<\/h3>\n

O comportamento contratual tamb\u00e9m mudou. Quase metade dos volumes dos transportadores foi adquirida no mercado spot por at\u00e9 um m\u00eas, um resqu\u00edcio da pandemia. No quarto trimestre de 2025, contratos de um ano representaram apenas 24% dos novos acordos, uma queda de 20 pontos percentuais em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao trimestre anterior.<\/p>\n

As condi\u00e7\u00f5es de mercado indicam uma poss\u00edvel movimenta\u00e7\u00e3o para baixo. Van de Wouw comentou que os maiores riscos para o frete a\u00e9reo neste ano s\u00e3o a possibilidade de uma desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o do crescimento. A estabilidade do mercado pode ser amea\u00e7ada por uma diminui\u00e7\u00e3o da demanda na primeira metade de 2026.<\/p>\n

www.xeneta.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A ind\u00fastria de frete a\u00e9reo apresenta um crescimento de volume de 6% em 2025, enquanto o estagna\u00e7\u00e3o dos transportes de e-commerce da China pode impactar as perspectivas futuras.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":72113,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1625,1626,1622,1623,1624,1621,1618],"tags":[2250,2251,2252,2253,2254,2255,2256,2257,2258,2259,2260,2261,2262,2263,2264,2265,2266,2267,2268,2213,2269,2270,2271,2272,2273,2274,2275,2276,2277,2278,2279,2280,2281,2282,2283,2284,2285,2286,2287,2288,2289,2290,2291,2292,2293,2294,2295,2296,2297,1837,2298,2299,2300,2301],"class_list":["post-72118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa","category-americas","category-asia-pacifico","category-europa","category-medio-oriente","category-regioes","category-transporte-aereo-de-mercadorias","tag-air-freight-contracts","tag-air-freight-forecast-2026","tag-air-freight-industry","tag-air-freight-market-changes","tag-air-freight-rates","tag-air-freight-volumes","tag-artificial-intelligence-in-logistics","tag-changements-du-marche-du-fret-aerien","tag-commerce-transfrontalier","tag-consumer-prices","tag-contrats-de-fret-aerien","tag-couts-dexportation-chine","tag-cross-border-trade","tag-customs-fees","tag-demande-en-e-commerce","tag-deutsch-luftfracht","tag-e-commerce","tag-e-commerce-demand","tag-e-commerce-nachfrage","tag-economie-du-transport","tag-export-costs-china","tag-exportkosten-china","tag-frais-de-douane","tag-geopolitical-tensions-francais-fret-aerien","tag-geopolitische-spannungen-english-air-freight","tag-grenzueberschreitender-handel","tag-handelsunsicherheiten","tag-incertitudes-commerciales","tag-industrie-du-fret-aerien","tag-intelligence-artificielle-en-logistique","tag-international-logistics","tag-internationale-logistik","tag-kuenstliche-intelligenz-in-der-logistik","tag-logistique-internationale","tag-luftfrachtbranche","tag-luftfrachtpreise","tag-luftfrachtprognose-2026","tag-luftfrachtvertraege","tag-luftfrachtvolumina","tag-marche-au-comptant-fret-aerien","tag-marktveraenderungen-luftfracht","tag-previsions-de-fret-aerien-2026","tag-prix-des-consommateurs","tag-spot-market-air-freight","tag-spotmarkt-luftfracht","tag-tarifs-de-fret-aerien","tag-tensions-geopolitiques","tag-trade-uncertainties","tag-transport-economy","tag-transportwirtschaft","tag-verbraucherpreise","tag-volumes-de-fret-aerien","tag-xeneta","tag-zollgebuehren"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nInd\u00fastria 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