{"id":67312,"date":"2024-11-19T20:38:24","date_gmt":"2024-11-19T19:38:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.brand-architecture.at\/2024\/11\/19\/a-globalizacao-continua-em-niveis-recordes-apesar-das-tensoes\/"},"modified":"2024-11-19T20:38:24","modified_gmt":"2024-11-19T19:38:24","slug":"a-globalizacao-continua-em-niveis-recordes-apesar-das-tensoes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/pt-pt\/2024\/11\/19\/a-globalizacao-continua-em-niveis-recordes-apesar-das-tensoes\/","title":{"rendered":"A Globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o continua em n\u00edveis recordes apesar das tens\u00f5es"},"content":{"rendered":"
O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker mede a atividade internacional em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 atividade nacional numa escala de 0% a 100%. O valor atual de 25% mostra que a globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o continua a n\u00edveis recordes, apesar das tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas e incertezas. Ao mesmo tempo, o valor evidencia que o mundo, apesar de d\u00e9cadas de globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o, ainda n\u00e3o est\u00e1 totalmente conectado.<\/strong><\/h5>\n

(Bonn) As tend\u00eancias na \u00e1rea de globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o e com\u00e9rcio mundial podem ser analisadas com o novo DHL Global Connectedness Tracker por regi\u00e3o, pa\u00edses individuais e orienta\u00e7\u00e3o geopol\u00edtica. Os usu\u00e1rios podem baixar e compartilhar gr\u00e1ficos e dados.<\/p>\n

O com\u00e9rcio mundial continua a ser um pilar central da economia global<\/strong><\/h5>\n

“O Global Connectedness Tracker deixa claro que ainda existem in\u00fameras oportunidades para pa\u00edses e empresas expandirem seus mercados em todo o mundo. O ambiente internacional est\u00e1 mudando, mas as for\u00e7as e vantagens fundamentais da conex\u00e3o internacional permanecem. O com\u00e9rcio mundial ajuda pessoas, empresas e na\u00e7\u00f5es inteiras a terem sucesso”, John Pearson, CEO da DHL Express.<\/p>\n

Os dados mais recentes sublinham que o com\u00e9rcio global continua a desempenhar um papel crucial. Em 2023, 21% do valor de todos os bens e servi\u00e7os produzidos mundialmente foram comercializados internacionalmente. Este valor est\u00e1 ligeiramente abaixo do recorde hist\u00f3rico de 22%, alcan\u00e7ado pela primeira vez em 2008 e novamente em 2022.<\/p>\n

Estados que n\u00e3o s\u00e3o aliados pr\u00f3ximos dos EUA ou da China se beneficiam<\/strong><\/h5>\n

As rela\u00e7\u00f5es entre os EUA e a China continuaram a se deteriorar. O com\u00e9rcio direto entre os EUA e a China caiu de 3,5% do com\u00e9rcio global de bens em 2016 para 2,6% em 2024 (de janeiro a julho). Ao mesmo tempo, esses n\u00fameros refletem que o com\u00e9rcio direto entre os EUA e a China representa apenas uma pequena parte do com\u00e9rcio mundial.<\/p>\n

O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker tamb\u00e9m mostra que estados que n\u00e3o s\u00e3o aliados pr\u00f3ximos dos EUA ou da China representam uma parcela crescente do com\u00e9rcio mundial e assumem novos pap\u00e9is como ‘pontes’ entre rivais geopol\u00edticos. Pa\u00edses que n\u00e3o s\u00e3o aliados pr\u00f3ximos de nenhuma das duas superpot\u00eancias aumentaram sua participa\u00e7\u00e3o no com\u00e9rcio de 42% em 2016 para 47% em 2024. Os Emirados \u00c1rabes Unidos, a \u00cdndia, o Vietn\u00e3, o Brasil e o M\u00e9xico registraram ganhos significativos na participa\u00e7\u00e3o comercial durante esse per\u00edodo.<\/p>\n

Considera\u00e7\u00f5es sobre os impactos de poss\u00edveis novas tarifas dos EUA<\/strong><\/h5>\n

Diante de poss\u00edveis aumentos de tarifas sobre importa\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA e poss\u00edveis novos conflitos comerciais ap\u00f3s o retorno de Donald Trump \u00e0 Casa Branca, a an\u00e1lise recomenda cautela em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a suposi\u00e7\u00f5es de que tais desenvolvimentos reverteriam a globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o. O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker aponta que o com\u00e9rcio mundial j\u00e1 se manteve resiliente ap\u00f3s o Brexit, no conflito comercial entre os EUA e a China, durante a pandemia de Covid, bem como durante as guerras na Ucr\u00e2nia e na Faixa de Gaza.<\/p>\n

“Em tempos turbulentos, \u00e9 importante olhar al\u00e9m do fogo cruzado pol\u00edtico sobre a globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o para tomar decis\u00f5es informadas. Essas decis\u00f5es devem ser baseadas em como os fluxos internacionais realmente est\u00e3o se desenvolvendo. Embora n\u00e3o haja garantia de que os fluxos globais permane\u00e7am t\u00e3o robustos, fica claro que empresas e pa\u00edses frequentemente encontram maneiras criativas de preservar os benef\u00edcios da globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o. Enquanto os mercados estiverem interconectados, uma empresa que se retira unilateralmente da globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o pode colocar em risco sua posi\u00e7\u00e3o competitiva”, Steven A. Altman, Pesquisador S\u00eanior e Diretor da DHL Initiative on Globalization no Center for the Future of Management da NYU Stern.<\/p>\n

O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker mostra que os fluxos de informa\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e3o mais globalizados e, devido \u00e0 digitaliza\u00e7\u00e3o, apresentaram o maior aumento no grau de globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o nas \u00faltimas duas d\u00e9cadas. Os fluxos de pessoas, que incluem migra\u00e7\u00e3o e viagens, apresentam um grau de globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o muito baixo.<\/p>\n

Os dados falam contra uma ampla tend\u00eancia de regionaliza\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong><\/h5>\n

Embora tenha havido um maior interesse nos \u00faltimos anos em produzir bens mais pr\u00f3ximos dos clientes, a an\u00e1lise mostra: a regionaliza\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o supera a globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o. Na verdade, a maioria dos fluxos ocorre em dist\u00e2ncias est\u00e1veis ou maiores \u2013 o que contraria uma ampla tend\u00eancia em dire\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 regionaliza\u00e7\u00e3o. Nos primeiros sete meses de 2024, os bens comercializados percorreram at\u00e9 mesmo a maior dist\u00e2ncia m\u00e9dia de todos os tempos (4.970 km). Coincidentemente, a participa\u00e7\u00e3o do com\u00e9rcio de bens que ocorreu dentro das grandes regi\u00f5es do mundo caiu para um novo m\u00ednimo de 51%.<\/p>\n

O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker<\/strong><\/h5>\n

O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker<\/a> \u00e9 uma nova extens\u00e3o do renomado DHL Global Connectedness Report<\/a>, que \u00e9 publicado regularmente desde 2011. O Tracker \u00e9 atualizado regularmente. A vers\u00e3o atual de novembro de 2024 analisa mais de oito milh\u00f5es de pontos de dados sobre fluxos internacionais de com\u00e9rcio, capital, informa\u00e7\u00e3o e pessoas. O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker tamb\u00e9m cont\u00e9m uma ferramenta de dados online amig\u00e1vel, que oferece insights personalizados sobre o estado da globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o e do com\u00e9rcio mundial. A ferramenta oferece gr\u00e1ficos interativos e op\u00e7\u00f5es convenientes de download. O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker \u00e9 encomendado pela DHL e elaborado por Steven A. Altman e Caroline R. Bastian da New York University Stern School of Business.<\/p>\n

Foto: \u00a9 DHL<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker mede a atividade internacional em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 atividade nacional numa escala de 0% a 100%. O valor atual de 25% mostra [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":5705,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1557,1561],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-67312","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forwarding-logistics","category-regions"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nA Globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o continua em n\u00edveis recordes apesar das tens\u00f5es - ITJ | International Transport Journal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/pt-pt\/2024\/11\/19\/a-globalizacao-continua-em-niveis-recordes-apesar-das-tensoes\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Globaliza\u00e7\u00e3o continua em n\u00edveis recordes apesar das tens\u00f5es - ITJ | International Transport Journal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"O DHL Global Connectedness Tracker mede a atividade internacional em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 atividade nacional numa escala de 0% a 100%. 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