{"id":72117,"date":"2026-01-07T11:53:48","date_gmt":"2026-01-07T11:53:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/2026\/01\/07\/settore-del-cargo-aereo-con-prospettive-miste\/"},"modified":"2026-01-07T13:29:14","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T12:29:14","slug":"settore-del-cargo-aereo-con-prospettive-miste","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/it\/2026\/01\/07\/settore-del-cargo-aereo-con-prospettive-miste\/","title":{"rendered":"Settore della cargo aereo con prospettive miste"},"content":{"rendered":"

Il settore del trasporto aereo merci ha concluso il 2025 con un aumento del volume del 6% a dicembre, indicando uno sviluppo positivo. Tuttavia, ci sono preoccupazioni riguardo al rallentamento dei trasporti e-commerce dalla Cina, che potrebbero offuscare le prospettive per il settore. Lo riportano gli analisti di Xeneta.<\/p>\n

Nel quarto trimestre dell’anno scorso, i volumi di trasporto aereo merci si sono rivelati migliori del previsto, portando a un aumento del peso resiliente del 4% rispetto all’anno precedente. Questo sviluppo riflette la disponibilit\u00e0 di molti spedizionieri a passare alla velocit\u00e0 e affidabilit\u00e0 del trasporto aereo in tempi di interruzioni e incertezze economiche. Niall van de Wouw, Chief Airfreight Officer di Xeneta, ha dichiarato che il 2025 „ha offerto qualcosa per tutti“, poich\u00e9 i fornitori hanno beneficiato di volumi pi\u00f9 elevati e gli spedizionieri hanno approfittato di prezzi pi\u00f9 bassi nella seconda met\u00e0 dell’anno.<\/p>\n

Per il 2026, tuttavia, Xeneta prevede una previsione pi\u00f9 cauta con un aumento moderato dei volumi del 2-3%. Van de Wouw ha affermato che potrebbe esserci „un prezzo da pagare“, poich\u00e9 le incertezze nel commercio e le tensioni geopolitiche potrebbero gravare sui volumi di trasporto aereo. Nonostante la crescita della domanda dell’anno scorso, i prezzi globali del trasporto aereo negli ultimi mesi sono stati inferiori ai livelli del 2024. A dicembre, i prezzi globali del trasporto aereo sono diminuiti del 4% rispetto all’anno precedente, raggiungendo una media di 2,83 USD per kg.<\/p>\n

Sfide nell’e-commerce<\/h3>\n

Lo sviluppo futuro del trasporto aereo sar\u00e0 fortemente influenzato dalla domanda di e-commerce. Van de Wouw ha sottolineato che gli investimenti nell’intelligenza artificiale hanno avuto un impatto positivo sulla domanda nel 2025, ma i segnali meno ottimistici per l’e-commerce, in particolare per le esportazioni transfrontaliere dalla Cina, sono preoccupanti. Secondo le autorit\u00e0 doganali cinesi, le esportazioni a novembre sono aumentate solo dell’1% rispetto all’anno precedente, dopo essere rimaste stagnanti a ottobre. In particolare, il calo delle esportazioni verso gli Stati Uniti \u00e8 stato significativo, con una diminuzione del 52% a novembre rispetto all’anno precedente.<\/p>\n

Sebbene i volumi di e-commerce tra Cina e UE continuino a crescere, lo fanno a un ritmo pi\u00f9 lento, con un aumento del 29% a novembre, rispetto al 47% di ottobre. Inoltre, il Consiglio di Stato cinese ha introdotto nuove regole per la dichiarazione fiscale per le piattaforme online, che entreranno in vigore a ottobre 2025. Queste normative potrebbero aumentare i costi di esportazione e compromettere la competitivit\u00e0 nell’e-commerce internazionale.<\/p>\n

Regolamenti e cambiamenti di mercato<\/h3>\n

Il settore dell’e-commerce internazionale transfrontaliero si muover\u00e0 in un ambiente sempre pi\u00f9 regolamentato. Gli Stati Uniti e l’UE stanno introducendo nuove normative che entreranno in vigore a partire dall’anno fiscale 2026. L’UE ha deciso a dicembre di introdurre una tariffa doganale fissa di 3 EUR sui pacchi piccoli sotto i 150 EUR a partire dal 1\u00b0 luglio 2026. Queste misure potrebbero rallentare la crescita nell’e-commerce, ma continueranno a procedere pi\u00f9 rapidamente rispetto al mercato del trasporto aereo generale.<\/p>\n

Van de Wouw ha sottolineato che i volumi di e-commerce del trasporto aereo potrebbero essere influenzati anche dalla diminuzione del potere d’acquisto dei consumatori, poich\u00e9 questi si trovano ad affrontare prezzi pi\u00f9 elevati per beni di prima necessit\u00e0.<\/p>\n

I prezzi spot per il trasporto aereo sono continuati a diminuire a dicembre, con il calo pi\u00f9 significativo sulla rotta transatlantica dall’Europa verso il Nord America, con un -13%. Nonostante un calo della domanda del 2% rispetto all’anno precedente, i prezzi spot sono aumentati del 17% rispetto al mese precedente, indicando una domanda crescente.<\/p>\n

Cambiamenti nel comportamento contrattuale<\/h3>\n

Anche il comportamento contrattuale \u00e8 cambiato. Quasi la met\u00e0 dei volumi degli spedizionieri \u00e8 stata acquistata nel mercato spot per un massimo di un mese, un’eredit\u00e0 della pandemia. Nel quarto trimestre del 2025, i contratti annuali rappresentavano solo il 24% dei nuovi accordi, segnando un calo di 20 punti percentuali rispetto al trimestre precedente.<\/p>\n

Le condizioni di mercato indicano una possibile tendenza al ribasso. Van de Wouw ha affermato che i maggiori rischi per il trasporto aereo quest’anno consistono nella possibilit\u00e0 di un rallentamento della crescita. La stabilit\u00e0 del mercato potrebbe essere compromessa da una domanda in calo nella prima met\u00e0 del 2026.<\/p>\n

www.xeneta.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Il settore della cargo aerea mostra una crescita del volume del 6 % nel 2025, mentre i trasporti di e-commerce stagnanti dalla Cina potrebbero influenzare negativamente le prospettive future.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":72113,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1642,1638,1640,1634,1630],"tags":[2250,2251,2252,2253,2254,2255,2256,2257,2258,2259,2260,2261,2262,2263,2264,2265,2266,2267,2268,2213,2269,2270,2271,2272,2273,2274,2275,2276,2277,2278,2279,2280,2281,2282,2283,2284,2285,2286,2287,2288,2289,2290,2291,2292,2293,2294,2295,2296,2297,1837,2298,2299,2300,2301],"class_list":["post-72117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa","category-europa","category-medio-oriente","category-regioni","category-trasporto-aereo","tag-air-freight-contracts","tag-air-freight-forecast-2026","tag-air-freight-industry","tag-air-freight-market-changes","tag-air-freight-rates","tag-air-freight-volumes","tag-artificial-intelligence-in-logistics","tag-changements-du-marche-du-fret-aerien","tag-commerce-transfrontalier","tag-consumer-prices","tag-contrats-de-fret-aerien","tag-couts-dexportation-chine","tag-cross-border-trade","tag-customs-fees","tag-demande-en-e-commerce","tag-deutsch-luftfracht","tag-e-commerce","tag-e-commerce-demand","tag-e-commerce-nachfrage","tag-economie-du-transport","tag-export-costs-china","tag-exportkosten-china","tag-frais-de-douane","tag-geopolitical-tensions-francais-fret-aerien","tag-geopolitische-spannungen-english-air-freight","tag-grenzueberschreitender-handel","tag-handelsunsicherheiten","tag-incertitudes-commerciales","tag-industrie-du-fret-aerien","tag-intelligence-artificielle-en-logistique","tag-international-logistics","tag-internationale-logistik","tag-kuenstliche-intelligenz-in-der-logistik","tag-logistique-internationale","tag-luftfrachtbranche","tag-luftfrachtpreise","tag-luftfrachtprognose-2026","tag-luftfrachtvertraege","tag-luftfrachtvolumina","tag-marche-au-comptant-fret-aerien","tag-marktveraenderungen-luftfracht","tag-previsions-de-fret-aerien-2026","tag-prix-des-consommateurs","tag-spot-market-air-freight","tag-spotmarkt-luftfracht","tag-tarifs-de-fret-aerien","tag-tensions-geopolitiques","tag-trade-uncertainties","tag-transport-economy","tag-transportwirtschaft","tag-verbraucherpreise","tag-volumes-de-fret-aerien","tag-xeneta","tag-zollgebuehren"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSettore 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