{"id":73013,"date":"2026-01-14T08:19:25","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T08:19:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/2026\/01\/14\/el-transporte-aereo-de-carga-crece-a-pesar-de-los-desafios\/"},"modified":"2026-01-14T11:37:44","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T10:37:44","slug":"el-transporte-aereo-de-carga-crece-a-pesar-de-los-desafios","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/transportjournal.com\/es\/2026\/01\/14\/el-transporte-aereo-de-carga-crece-a-pesar-de-los-desafios\/","title":{"rendered":"El transporte a\u00e9reo de carga crece a pesar de los desaf\u00edos"},"content":{"rendered":"

La demanda mundial de carga a\u00e9rea cerr\u00f3 el a\u00f1o 2025 con un aumento del 6% en diciembre. Esto muestra un desarrollo positivo en comparaci\u00f3n con el a\u00f1o anterior, aunque las entregas de comercio electr\u00f3nico estancadas desde China generan preocupaciones entre las aerol\u00edneas y los transportistas. Esto se desprende de un an\u00e1lisis de Xeneta.<\/p>\n

Crecimiento a pesar de los desaf\u00edos<\/h3>\n

En el cuarto trimestre de 2025, la industria de carga a\u00e9rea registr\u00f3 un volumen mejor de lo esperado, lo que llev\u00f3 a un crecimiento anual del 4% en la carga transportada. Este desarrollo refleja la disposici\u00f3n de muchos remitentes a cambiar a la velocidad y fiabilidad de la carga a\u00e9rea en tiempos de interrupciones e incertidumbre econ\u00f3mica. Niall van de Wouw, Director de Carga A\u00e9rea de Xeneta, explic\u00f3 que el a\u00f1o 2025 „tuvo algo que ofrecer para todos“, ya que los proveedores se beneficiaron de vol\u00famenes m\u00e1s altos y los remitentes pudieron aprovechar precios m\u00e1s bajos en la segunda mitad del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, para 2026, Xeneta espera un crecimiento m\u00e1s cauteloso del 2 al 3%. Van de Wouw expres\u00f3 que podr\u00eda haber „un precio que pagar“, ya que las incertidumbres en el comercio y las tensiones geopol\u00edticas podr\u00edan afectar los vol\u00famenes de carga a\u00e9rea. A pesar del crecimiento de la demanda a finales de a\u00f1o, los precios globales de carga a\u00e9rea se mantuvieron por debajo de los niveles de 2024 en los \u00faltimos meses. En diciembre, los precios cayeron un 4% en comparaci\u00f3n con el a\u00f1o anterior, alcanzando un promedio de 2,83 USD por kg.<\/p>\n

Influencia del comercio electr\u00f3nico<\/h3>\n

El desarrollo futuro estar\u00e1 fuertemente influenciado por la demanda de comercio electr\u00f3nico, especialmente desde China y Europa. Van de Wouw se\u00f1al\u00f3 que las inversiones en inteligencia artificial apoyaron la demanda de carga a\u00e9rea en 2025, mientras que las se\u00f1ales menos optimistas para el comercio electr\u00f3nico, especialmente en las exportaciones transfronterizas desde China, son preocupantes. Seg\u00fan estad\u00edsticas aduaneras chinas, las exportaciones de productos de bajo precio y de comercio electr\u00f3nico en noviembre solo aumentaron un 1% en comparaci\u00f3n con el a\u00f1o anterior, despu\u00e9s de haber estado estancadas en octubre. Las exportaciones a EE. UU. registraron en noviembre una ca\u00edda del 52% en comparaci\u00f3n con el a\u00f1o anterior, lo que representa la mayor ca\u00edda desde que se tienen registros.<\/p>\n

Aunque los vol\u00famenes de comercio electr\u00f3nico entre China y la UE continuaron creciendo, lo hicieron a un ritmo m\u00e1s lento, con un aumento del 29% en noviembre, en comparaci\u00f3n con el 47% en octubre. Adem\u00e1s, el Consejo de Estado de China ha introducido nuevas regulaciones sobre la presentaci\u00f3n de informes fiscales para plataformas en l\u00ednea, que entrar\u00e1n en vigor en octubre de 2025. Esta regulaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda aumentar los costos de entrega y endurecer los requisitos de cumplimiento para los exportadores.<\/p>\n

Regulaci\u00f3n en el comercio electr\u00f3nico internacional<\/h3>\n

La industria internacional de comercio electr\u00f3nico transfronterizo se enfrenta a un panorama cada vez m\u00e1s regulado. EE. UU. y la UE est\u00e1n introduciendo nuevas regulaciones, mientras que pa\u00edses como Jap\u00f3n y Tailandia tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1n discutiendo medidas similares. As\u00ed, la UE decidi\u00f3 en diciembre introducir a partir del 1 de julio de 2026 una tarifa aduanera fija de 3 EUR para peque\u00f1os paquetes de menos de 150 EUR, con el fin de cerrar las lagunas para las entregas de bajo precio. Esto podr\u00eda llevar a un crecimiento m\u00e1s lento de los vol\u00famenes de comercio electr\u00f3nico en 2026, aunque se espera que crezcan m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido que el mercado general de carga a\u00e9rea.<\/p>\n

Van de Wouw enfatiz\u00f3 que los vol\u00famenes de comercio electr\u00f3nico de carga a\u00e9rea tambi\u00e9n podr\u00edan verse afectados por la disminuci\u00f3n del poder adquisitivo de los consumidores, ya que se enfrentan a precios m\u00e1s altos de bienes de consumo y manejan su dinero de manera m\u00e1s consciente.<\/p>\n

Desarrollo del mercado y tendencias de precios<\/h3>\n

En diciembre, continuaron las ca\u00eddas de los precios spot en los principales corredores. La mayor ca\u00edda del 13% se registr\u00f3 en la ruta transatl\u00e1ntica de Europa a Am\u00e9rica del Norte. La demanda cay\u00f3 un 2%, lo que fue m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido que la disminuci\u00f3n de la capacidad del 1%. Sin embargo, mensualmente, los precios spot aumentaron un 17% debido a la reducci\u00f3n de las capacidades de pasajeros, lo que representa el aumento m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido entre los principales corredores, aunque sigue estando por debajo del nivel del a\u00f1o anterior.<\/p>\n

Las aerol\u00edneas han redirigido r\u00e1pidamente sus capacidades de carga desde EE. UU. hacia Europa, donde la demanda es m\u00e1s estable. Sin embargo, los precios spot desde China hacia Europa y Am\u00e9rica del Norte solo muestran una ligera disminuci\u00f3n del 1% en comparaci\u00f3n con diciembre de 2024.<\/p>\n

Las negociaciones contractuales tambi\u00e9n han cambiado. Casi la mitad de los vol\u00famenes de los transportistas se compraron en el mercado spot por hasta un mes, una pr\u00e1ctica que ha persistido desde la pandemia. En el cuarto trimestre de 2025, los contratos anuales representaron solo el 24% de los nuevos acuerdos, lo que representa una disminuci\u00f3n de 20 puntos porcentuales en comparaci\u00f3n con el trimestre anterior.<\/p>\n

Las condiciones del mercado indican una disminuci\u00f3n, y van de Wouw ve los mayores riesgos para el a\u00f1o 2026. Expres\u00f3 su preocupaci\u00f3n de que una crisis podr\u00eda afectar nuevamente las tasas de crecimiento de la carga a\u00e9rea.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

www.tiaca.org<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La industria de carga a\u00e9rea cerr\u00f3 2025 con un aumento del 6 %, a pesar de los desaf\u00edos por la stagnaci\u00f3n de las entregas de comercio electr\u00f3nico desde China y las tensiones geopol\u00edticas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":73010,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1613,1614,1610,1606,1611,1612,1609],"tags":[5210,5211,5212,5213,2936,5214,2255,2941,5215,5216,5217,5218,2265,3458,3460,2266,2267,2268,5219,5220,5221,5222,5223,5224,5225,5226,2123,2125,2279,2280,5227,2282,3471,5228,5229,5230,2284,2287,5231,5232,5233,2145,5234,5235,5236,2106,5237,2295,2155,1837,5238,2300,5239],"class_list":["post-73013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa","category-america","category-asia-pacifico","category-carga-aerea","category-europa","category-oriente-medio","category-regiones","tag-air-freight-china","tag-air-freight-europe","tag-air-freight-growth","tag-air-freight-market-2026","tag-air-freight-market-analysis","tag-air-freight-prices","tag-air-freight-volumes","tag-analyse-du-marche-du-fret-aerien","tag-capacites-de-fret","tag-croissance-fret-aerien","tag-customs-fees-e-commerce","tag-demande-e-commerce","tag-deutsch-luftfracht","tag-digital-logistics","tag-digitale-logistik","tag-e-commerce","tag-e-commerce-demand","tag-e-commerce-nachfrage","tag-fachkraeftemangel-logistik-english-air-freight","tag-frachterkapazitaeten","tag-frais-de-douane-e-commerce","tag-freighter-capacities","tag-fret-aerien-chine","tag-fret-aerien-europe","tag-geopolitical-tensions","tag-geopolitische-spannungen","tag-gestion-de-la-chaine-dapprovisionnement","tag-industrie-du-transport","tag-international-logistics","tag-internationale-logistik","tag-labor-shortage-logistics-francais-fret-aerien","tag-logistique-internationale","tag-logistique-numerique","tag-luftfracht-china","tag-luftfracht-europa","tag-luftfrachtmarkt-2026","tag-luftfrachtpreise","tag-luftfrachtvolumina","tag-luftfrachtwachstum","tag-marche-fret-aerien-2026","tag-marktanalyse-luftfracht","tag-penurie-de-main-doeuvre-logistique","tag-prix-fret-aerien","tag-spot-rates-air-freight","tag-spotpreise-luftfracht","tag-supply-chain-management","tag-tarifs-spot-fret-aerien","tag-tensions-geopolitiques","tag-transport-industry","tag-transportwirtschaft","tag-volumes-fret-aerien","tag-xeneta","tag-zollgebuehren-e-commerce"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEl 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